NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

34-32-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Mar 28 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

31-32-8  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 4.92 0.848 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 3.94 0.867 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.92 GAA Ldr 3.94
0.848 Save % Ldr 0.867
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
DUCKS
100%
RANGERS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (New York)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

74.5%

Ducks Cover

25.5%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

NYR By 1 goal

19.5%

NYR By 2-3 goals

32.6%

ANA By 1 goal

10.2%

ANA By 2-3 goals

7.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.27
NEW YORK
1.95
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim Rangers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 19, 2026 NYR @ ANA 3 - 5
Dec 15, 2025 ANA @ NYR 4 - 1
Mar 28, 2025 NYR @ ANA 4 - 5
Oct 26, 2024 ANA @ NYR 1 - 2
Jan 21, 2024 NYR @ ANA 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +38.0% more
New York: 33.9 vs Anaheim: 21.0
Faceoff % (L5) +6.6%
New York: 52.3% vs Anaheim: 45.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +68.3% more
Anaheim: 18.7 vs New York: 11.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +56.7% more
Anaheim: 32.7 vs New York: 20.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 3.3 4
ANA Score 2.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.7 / 11.1 13.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 45.7 / 52.3 39.7 / 60.3
Hits 21.0 / 33.9 18.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 4.9 / 0.8 0.0 / 14.3
Shots on Goal 32.7 / 20.9 33.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 5.0 / 3.6 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
43%MONEY57%