Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Bulls LAL @ CHI

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

44-28  |  Road

117
FINAL
Thu, Mar 27 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

32-40  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
LAKERS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Chicago)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

42.9%

Bulls Cover

57.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

LAL By 1-7 points

23.3%

LAL By 8-14 points

12.5%

CHI By 1-7 points

26.7%

CHI By 8-14 points

18.2%

AI Model Projected Score
115.68
LOS ANGELES
117.48
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
112
LOS ANGELES
108
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim Lakers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 233.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 CHI @ LAL 130 - 142
Jan 26, 2026 LAL @ CHI 129 - 118
Mar 27, 2025 LAL @ CHI 117 - 119
Mar 22, 2025 CHI @ LAL 146 - 115
Jan 25, 2024 CHI @ LAL 132 - 141
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +90.7% more
Chicago: 4.7 vs Los Angeles: 2.5
Steals (L5) +45.6% more
Chicago: 10.1 vs Los Angeles: 6.9
Assists (L5) +34.0% more
Chicago: 32.4 vs Los Angeles: 24.2
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Chicago: 51.6% vs Los Angeles: 48.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 115.7 117
CHI Score 117.5 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 39.2 43.2 / 29.3
Assists 32.4 / 24.2 33.0 / 30.0
Blocks 4.7 / 2.5 2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 48.2 46.7 / 49.5
Free Throw % 81.1 / 78.3 63.6 / 83.3
Rebounding 42.7 / 41.2 48.0 / 40.0
Steals 10.1 / 6.9 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 15.1 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
LAL
CHI
LAL
ML
56% 54-42
61% 68-43
57% 46-35
54% 49-42
ATS
65% 62-33-1
61% 67-43-1
57% 46-35
54% 49-42
TTL
58% 56-40
61% 66-43-2
100% 81-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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