OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
37-28-5 | Road
4
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
33-32-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 3.00 | 0.912 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
--
0.912
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
SENATORS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
18.9%
OTT By 2-3 goals
22.9%
DET By 1 goal
15.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
14.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3.41
OTTAWA
Detroit
3.02
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Senators (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
DET @ OTT
2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
DET @ OTT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.5%
Ottawa: 56.1%
vs
Detroit: 44.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+11.2% more
Ottawa: 4.6
vs
Detroit: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+7.8%
Ottawa: 41.6%
vs
Detroit: 33.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.7% more
Detroit: 20.4
vs
Ottawa: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.4
4
DET Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.4 / 15.4
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
44.6 / 56.1
46.6 / 53.4
Hits
24.5 / 24.6
23.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
33.8 / 41.6
16.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.6 / 25.2
34.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.6
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
OTT
DET
OTT
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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