Home / NBA Projections NBA / Raptors @ Nets TOR @ BKN

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

25-47  |  Road

116
FINAL
Wed, Mar 26 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

23-49  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
📊
NETS
100%
RAPTORS --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Toronto)
RaptorsTOR (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raptors Cover

53.0%

Nets Cover

47.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

TOR By 1-7 points

26.0%

TOR By 8-14 points

16.5%

BKN By 1-7 points

24.5%

BKN By 8-14 points

14.1%

AI Model Projected Score
108.91
TORONTO
108.15
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
112
TORONTO
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raptors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raptors (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.8
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 BKN @ TOR 101 - 136
Dec 21, 2025 TOR @ BKN 81 - 96
Nov 23, 2025 BKN @ TOR 109 - 119
Nov 11, 2025 TOR @ BKN 119 - 109
Apr 6, 2025 TOR @ BKN 120 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.5% more
Toronto: 4.1 vs Brooklyn: 2.7
Rebounding (L5) +17.2% more
Toronto: 51.0 vs Brooklyn: 42.2
Steals (L5) +13.7% more
Toronto: 8.7 vs Brooklyn: 7.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Toronto: 74.2% vs Brooklyn: 68.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 108.9 116
BKN Score 108.2 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 31.0 19.5 / 30.3
Assists 25.6 / 27.7 16.0 / 34.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.1 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 42.4 35.6 / 42.2
Free Throw % 68.9 / 74.2 84.2 / 87.0
Rebounding 42.2 / 51.0 43.0 / 63.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.7 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 16.7 20.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
TOR
BKN
TOR
ML
53% 50-45
55% 57-47
59% 48-34
55% 48-39
ATS
52% 48-44-3
61% 62-40-2
59% 48-34
55% 48-39
TTL
57% 54-41
60% 62-42
100% 82-0
100% 87-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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