VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
33-26-12 | Road
5
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
32-28-10 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 2.00 | 0.929 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 5.84 | 0.789 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
5.84
0.929 Ldr
Save %
0.789
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
CANUCKS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
VAN By 1 goal
17.0%
VAN By 2-3 goals
17.6%
NYI By 1 goal
17.9%
NYI By 2-3 goals
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.59
VANCOUVER
New York
2.69
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Canucks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
NYI @ VAN
4 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
VAN @ NYI
4 - 1
Mar 26, 2025
VAN @ NYI
5 - 2
Nov 14, 2024
NYI @ VAN
5 - 2
Jan 9, 2024
VAN @ NYI
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+173.4% more
New York: 4.6
vs
Vancouver: 1.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.7% more
New York: 31.0
vs
Vancouver: 27.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.6% more
New York: 17.8
vs
Vancouver: 16.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.3%
New York: 51.5%
vs
Vancouver: 49.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.6
5
NYI Score
2.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 16.3
18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 49.2
54.5 / 45.5
Hits
19.6 / 28.5
28.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
1107.0 / 1347.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 27.2
28.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 1.7
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
VAN
NYI
VAN
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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