ORLANDO
MAGICORL
34-38 | Road
111
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
18-53 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
HORNETS
100%
MAGIC
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.2
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.2 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -7.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
26.1%
ORL By 8-14 points
25.5%
CHA By 1-7 points
15.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
5.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
114.04
ORLANDO
Charlotte
106.85
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Charlotte
108
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.2
D
Sim
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 17, 2026
CHA @ ORL
90 - 121
Mar 19, 2026
ORL @ CHA
111 - 130
Jan 22, 2026
CHA @ ORL
124 - 97
Dec 26, 2025
CHA @ ORL
120 - 105
Oct 30, 2025
ORL @ CHA
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.8% more
Orlando: 7.8
vs
Charlotte: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+13.9% more
Orlando: 5.1
vs
Charlotte: 4.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.5% more
Orlando: 44.4
vs
Charlotte: 39.7
Turnovers (L5)
+42.7% more
Charlotte: 16.6
vs
Orlando: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
114.0
111
CHA Score
106.9
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 36.7
41.2 / 31.0
Assists
26.6 / 23.4
26.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.1
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 46.8
42.0 / 45.6
Free Throw %
90.0 / 83.0
76.2 / 84.2
Rebounding
39.7 / 44.4
38.0 / 50.0
Steals
5.1 / 7.8
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 11.6
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
ORL
CHA
ORL
ML
61%
60-39
61%
65-42
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
ATS
60%
59-40
64%
68-38-1
48%
40-44
56%
51-40
TTL
58%
57-42
57%
61-46
100%
84-0
100%
91-0
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