Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Trail Blazers CLE @ POR

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

57-14  |  Road

122
FINAL
Tue, Mar 25 • 10:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

32-40  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
CAVALIERS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Cleveland)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

59.7%

Trail Blazers Cover

40.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

27.1%

CLE By 8-14 points

19.3%

POR By 1-7 points

22.4%

POR By 8-14 points

11.5%

AI Model Projected Score
116.69
CLEVELAND
114.23
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
118
CLEVELAND
112
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim Cavaliers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 230.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 CLE @ POR 130 - 111
Dec 3, 2025 POR @ CLE 122 - 110
Mar 25, 2025 CLE @ POR 122 - 111
Mar 2, 2025 POR @ CLE 129 - 133
Nov 30, 2023 POR @ CLE 103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +46.7% more
Portland: 15.1 vs Cleveland: 10.3
Blocks (L5) +11.3% more
Portland: 4.6 vs Cleveland: 4.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Portland: 38.6% vs Cleveland: 31.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.7%
Portland: 74.6% vs Cleveland: 73.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 116.7 122
POR Score 114.2 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 31.3 32.7 / 44.4
Assists 25.2 / 25.9 28.0 / 28.0
Blocks 4.6 / 4.2 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 47.0 40.0 / 54.5
Free Throw % 74.6 / 73.0 63.6 / 82.4
Rebounding 45.3 / 44.3 45.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.2 / 8.6 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 10.3 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
CLE
POR
CLE
ML
53% 56-49
60% 69-46
55% 49-40
56% 55-44
ATS
62% 65-39-1
67% 75-37-3
55% 49-40
56% 55-44
TTL
56% 58-46-1
59% 68-47
100% 89-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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