BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
52-19 | Road
113
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
35-35 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
KINGS
100%
CELTICS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.6 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
23.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.1%
SAC By 1-7 points
11.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
3.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
121.27
BOSTON
Sacramento
111.7
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Boston
118
BOSTON
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.6
D
Sim
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
SAC @ BOS
93 - 112
Jan 1, 2026
BOS @ SAC
120 - 106
Mar 24, 2025
BOS @ SAC
113 - 95
Jan 10, 2025
SAC @ BOS
114 - 97
Apr 5, 2024
SAC @ BOS
100 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.9% more
Boston: 5.4
vs
Sacramento: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+24.4% more
Boston: 8.0
vs
Sacramento: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Boston: 38.2%
vs
Sacramento: 34.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.6% more
Sacramento: 11.7
vs
Boston: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
121.3
113
SAC Score
111.7
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 38.2
33.3 / 38.0
Assists
25.5 / 27.4
23.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.4
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 49.1
45.3 / 45.6
Free Throw %
80.9 / 79.8
81.8 / 60.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 42.7
45.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.0
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 10.7
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
BOS
SAC
BOS
ML
55%
55-45
57%
61-46
61%
50-32
53%
47-41
ATS
54%
52-45-3
59%
61-43-3
61%
50-32
53%
47-41
TTL
58%
57-42-1
56%
60-47
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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