MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
40-25-5 | Road
0
DALLAS
STARSDAL
44-21-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.04 | 0.929 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.04
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.929
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
STARS
0%
WILD
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
MIN By 1 goal
8.9%
MIN By 2-3 goals
5.8%
DAL By 1 goal
19.0%
DAL By 2-3 goals
34.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
1.81
MINNESOTA
Dallas
3.36
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
MIN @ DAL
4 - 2
Apr 25, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 3
Apr 22, 2026
DAL @ MIN
4 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
MIN @ DAL
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+2.2%
Dallas: 18.6%
vs
Minnesota: 16.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+33.5% more
Minnesota: 6.9
vs
Dallas: 4.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.5% more
Minnesota: 17.0
vs
Dallas: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
1.8
0
DAL Score
3.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 17.0
10.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 50.3
48.5 / 51.5
Hits
19.5 / 19.1
15.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
18.6 / 16.4
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 23.6
29.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 6.9
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
MIN
DAL
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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