PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
23-47 | Road
119
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
34-36 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
HAWKS
0%
76ERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
PHI By 1-7 points
23.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
12.5%
ATL By 1-7 points
26.7%
ATL By 8-14 points
18.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
115.53
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
117.3
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PHI @ ATL
116 - 125
Feb 19, 2026
ATL @ PHI
117 - 107
Dec 14, 2025
PHI @ ATL
117 - 120
Nov 30, 2025
ATL @ PHI
142 - 134
Apr 11, 2025
ATL @ PHI
124 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.5% more
Atlanta: 6.2
vs
Philadelphia: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+24.2% more
Atlanta: 30.5
vs
Philadelphia: 24.6
Rebounding (L5)
+20.2% more
Atlanta: 44.4
vs
Philadelphia: 36.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Atlanta: 51.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 48.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
115.5
119
ATL Score
117.3
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 36.7
45.9 / 32.4
Assists
30.5 / 24.6
35.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.2 / 4.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 48.7
55.2 / 44.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 73.0
86.4 / 75.7
Rebounding
44.4 / 36.9
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.7 / 9.4
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 15.4
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
PHI
ATL
PHI
ML
50%
52-52
63%
69-40
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
ATS
53%
55-48-1
65%
71-38
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
TTL
53%
55-48-1
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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