BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
23-47 | Road
103
INDIANA
PACERSIND
40-29 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
PACERS
0%
NETS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.7
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.7 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -6.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
BKN By 1-7 points
15.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.1%
IND By 1-7 points
26.4%
IND By 8-14 points
25.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
109.8
BROOKLYN
Indiana
116.51
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Indiana
112
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pacers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.7
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
IND @ BKN
123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026
IND @ BKN
115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025
BKN @ IND
112 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
BKN @ IND
103 - 108
Mar 20, 2025
BKN @ IND
99 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+48.7% more
Indiana: 5.9
vs
Brooklyn: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+32.2% more
Indiana: 17.2
vs
Brooklyn: 13.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Indiana: 81.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 72.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Indiana: 48.1%
vs
Brooklyn: 41.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
109.8
103
IND Score
116.5
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 34.0
31.4 / 34.9
Assists
25.5 / 25.1
32.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.9 / 4.0
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 41.5
47.6 / 43.3
Free Throw %
81.8 / 72.2
81.0 / 58.8
Rebounding
45.8 / 43.3
44.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.7
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
17.2 / 13.0
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
BKN
IND
BKN
ML
48%
47-50
53%
50-45
54%
45-38
59%
48-34
ATS
59%
57-40
52%
48-44-3
54%
45-38
59%
48-34
TTL
54%
52-45
57%
54-41
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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