Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bulls @ Lakers CHI @ LAL

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

30-40  |  Road

146
FINAL
Sat, Mar 22 • 10:30 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

43-26  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
BULLS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (Los Angeles)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

37.1%

Lakers Cover

62.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

CHI By 1-7 points

21.2%

CHI By 8-14 points

10.3%

LAL By 1-7 points

27.3%

LAL By 8-14 points

20.6%

AI Model Projected Score
114.24
CHICAGO
117.54
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
118
CHICAGO
122
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lakers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 231.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 CHI @ LAL 130 - 142
Jan 26, 2026 LAL @ CHI 129 - 118
Mar 27, 2025 LAL @ CHI 117 - 119
Mar 22, 2025 CHI @ LAL 146 - 115
Jan 25, 2024 CHI @ LAL 132 - 141
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +20.3% more
Los Angeles: 15.3 vs Chicago: 12.7
Blocks (L5) +14.3% more
Chicago: 4.3 vs Los Angeles: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5) +10.9%
Chicago: 81.4% vs Los Angeles: 70.5%
Assists (L5) +8.7% more
Chicago: 29.1 vs Los Angeles: 26.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 114.2 146
LAL Score 117.5 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 37.6 41.5 / 46.3
Assists 26.6 / 29.1 23.0 / 41.0
Blocks 3.7 / 4.3 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 49.8 48.2 / 58.3
Free Throw % 70.5 / 81.4 72.7 / 75.0
Rebounding 44.0 / 42.8 35.0 / 42.0
Steals 8.5 / 8.2 8.0 / 17.0
Turnovers 15.3 / 12.7 21.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
CHI
LAL
CHI
ML
61% 68-43
56% 54-42
54% 49-42
57% 46-35
ATS
61% 67-43-1
65% 62-33-1
54% 49-42
57% 46-35
TTL
61% 66-43-2
58% 56-40
100% 91-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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