BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
27-34-6 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
39-25-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 3.11 | 0.850 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.952 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.11
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.850
Save %
Ldr 0.952
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
WILD
0%
SABRES
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
BUF By 1 goal
16.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
16.9%
MIN By 1 goal
18.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
20.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.05
BUFFALO
Minnesota
2.22
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
MIN @ BUF
2 - 3
Jan 17, 2026
MIN @ BUF
5 - 4
Nov 29, 2025
BUF @ MIN
3 - 2
Mar 22, 2025
BUF @ MIN
1 - 4
Nov 27, 2024
MIN @ BUF
1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+65.6% more
Minnesota: 6.8
vs
Buffalo: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.2% more
Minnesota: 16.4
vs
Buffalo: 13.1
Hits (L5)
+25.5% more
Buffalo: 25.0
vs
Minnesota: 18.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.3% more
Buffalo: 28.7
vs
Minnesota: 24.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.1
1
MIN Score
2.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 13.1
18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
47.9 / 50.9
55.1 / 44.9
Hits
18.6 / 25.0
20.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
2460.0 / 3056.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.9 / 28.7
21.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 4.1
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
BUF
MIN
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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