CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
56-13 | Road
112
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
33-37 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
SUNS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
CLE By 1-7 points
25.1%
CLE By 8-14 points
14.9%
PHX By 1-7 points
25.6%
PHX By 8-14 points
15.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
118.96
CLEVELAND
Phoenix
119.19
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Cleveland
118
CLEVELAND
Phoenix
122
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
CLE @ PHX
113 - 126
Dec 31, 2025
PHX @ CLE
113 - 129
Mar 21, 2025
CLE @ PHX
112 - 123
Jan 20, 2025
PHX @ CLE
92 - 118
Apr 3, 2024
CLE @ PHX
101 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+197.5% more
Phoenix: 4.7
vs
Cleveland: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+24.3% more
Phoenix: 31.5
vs
Cleveland: 25.3
Rebounding (L5)
+18.1% more
Phoenix: 46.5
vs
Cleveland: 39.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.4%
Phoenix: 88.5%
vs
Cleveland: 74.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
119.0
112
PHX Score
119.2
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 34.3
45.2 / 37.8
Assists
31.5 / 25.3
33.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.7 / 1.6
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 49.1
52.2 / 44.7
Free Throw %
88.5 / 74.1
100.0 / 78.6
Rebounding
46.5 / 39.4
46.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.1
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 12.4
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
CLE
PHX
CLE
ML
57%
60-45
60%
69-46
51%
45-43
56%
55-44
ATS
58%
59-43-3
67%
75-37-3
51%
45-43
56%
55-44
TTL
59%
61-42-2
59%
68-47
100%
88-0
100%
99-0
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