MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
43-27 | Road
108
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
39-30 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.1
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.1 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -8.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
MEM By 1-7 points
13.6%
MEM By 8-14 points
4.8%
LAC By 1-7 points
25.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
114.1
MEMPHIS
LA
122.18
LA
Simulated Score
Memphis
118
MEMPHIS
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.1
D
Sim
Grizzlies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 236.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
LAC @ MEM
123 - 120
Dec 15, 2025
MEM @ LAC
121 - 103
Dec 5, 2025
LAC @ MEM
98 - 107
Nov 28, 2025
MEM @ LAC
112 - 107
Mar 21, 2025
MEM @ LAC
108 - 128
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
LA: 44.7%
vs
Memphis: 34.6%
Assists (L5)
+8.5% more
LA: 27.7
vs
Memphis: 25.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
LA: 52.8%
vs
Memphis: 46.4%
Blocks (L5)
+11.1% more
Memphis: 5.3
vs
LA: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
114.1
108
LAC Score
122.2
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.7 / 34.6
50.0 / 38.8
Assists
27.7 / 25.5
29.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.7 / 5.3
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.8 / 46.4
57.7 / 42.1
Free Throw %
80.6 / 86.6
80.8 / 69.2
Rebounding
47.1 / 44.9
43.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.9 / 9.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 12.9
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MEM
LAC
MEM
ML
60%
59-40
57%
59-44
55%
45-37
50%
41-41
ATS
66%
65-33-1
63%
65-38
55%
45-37
50%
41-41
TTL
59%
58-40-1
70%
71-31-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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