CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
29-40 | Road
128
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
35-33 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
KINGS
100%
BULLS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
25.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
15.7%
SAC By 1-7 points
25.1%
SAC By 8-14 points
14.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
116.43
CHICAGO
Sacramento
116.18
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Sacramento
122
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.3
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ SAC
110 - 126
Oct 29, 2025
SAC @ CHI
113 - 126
Mar 20, 2025
CHI @ SAC
128 - 116
Jan 12, 2025
SAC @ CHI
124 - 119
Mar 4, 2024
CHI @ SAC
113 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.8% more
Chicago: 5.5
vs
Sacramento: 3.2
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
Chicago: 44.2
vs
Sacramento: 39.6
Turnovers (L5)
+17.9% more
Sacramento: 14.3
vs
Chicago: 12.1
Steals (L5)
+9.4% more
Sacramento: 8.5
vs
Chicago: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
116.4
128
SAC Score
116.2
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 34.9
38.5 / 42.9
Assists
28.1 / 27.7
27.0 / 32.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.5
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 48.6
47.7 / 52.3
Free Throw %
82.7 / 77.9
82.6 / 88.5
Rebounding
39.6 / 44.2
36.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.5 / 7.8
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 12.1
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
CHI
SAC
CHI
ML
55%
55-45
56%
54-42
61%
50-32
57%
46-35
ATS
54%
52-45-3
65%
62-33-1
61%
50-32
57%
46-35
TTL
58%
57-42-1
58%
56-40
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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