COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
41-25-3 | Road
5
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
36-26-5 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.00 | 0.938 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 13.73 | 0.692 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
13.73
0.938 Ldr
Save %
0.692
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
SENATORS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
32.2%
OTT By 1 goal
10.5%
OTT By 2-3 goals
7.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.39
COLORADO
Ottawa
3.12
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
COL @ OTT
2 - 5
Jan 8, 2026
OTT @ COL
2 - 8
Mar 20, 2025
COL @ OTT
5 - 1
Oct 27, 2024
OTT @ COL
4 - 5
Jan 16, 2024
COL @ OTT
7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.5% more
Colorado: 33.2
vs
Ottawa: 26.8
Takeaways (L5)
+8.4% more
Colorado: 6.6
vs
Ottawa: 6.0
Hits (L5)
+14.5% more
Ottawa: 23.7
vs
Colorado: 20.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.4% more
Ottawa: 14.9
vs
Colorado: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.4
5
OTT Score
3.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 13.2
19.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
55.1 / 49.6
44.0 / 56.0
Hits
23.7 / 20.7
35.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
34.3 / 28.2
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 33.2
16.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 6.6
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
COL
OTT
COL
ML
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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