CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
56-12 | Road
119
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
34-33 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
KINGS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.7%
CLE By 8-14 points
18.2%
SAC By 1-7 points
23.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
12.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
119.96
CLEVELAND
Sacramento
118.2
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
118
CLEVELAND
Sacramento
122
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
CLE @ SAC
132 - 126
Jan 23, 2026
SAC @ CLE
118 - 123
Apr 6, 2025
SAC @ CLE
120 - 113
Mar 19, 2025
CLE @ SAC
119 - 123
Feb 5, 2024
SAC @ CLE
110 - 136
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+125.0% more
Sacramento: 4.2
vs
Cleveland: 1.9
Turnovers (L5)
+17.9% more
Sacramento: 14.9
vs
Cleveland: 12.6
Steals (L5)
+15.0% more
Sacramento: 8.3
vs
Cleveland: 7.2
Assists (L5)
+8.3% more
Sacramento: 28.2
vs
Cleveland: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
120.0
119
SAC Score
118.2
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 32.3
45.7 / 38.2
Assists
28.2 / 26.0
28.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.2 / 1.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 46.2
50.5 / 54.8
Free Throw %
77.2 / 72.2
93.8 / 77.8
Rebounding
38.9 / 40.6
41.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.3 / 7.2
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 12.6
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
SAC
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
CLE
SAC
CLE
ML
55%
55-45
60%
69-46
61%
50-32
56%
55-44
ATS
54%
52-45-3
67%
75-37-3
61%
50-32
56%
55-44
TTL
58%
57-42-1
59%
68-47
100%
82-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Joel Embiid: The X-Factor in Philadelphia's Star-Studded Lineup
LeBron James Joins Star-Studded 76ers: Inside the First Week of …
From Diamond to Broadcast Booth: Detroit's Legacy of Great Athle…
Lakers Preseason: Luka Dončić Shines, Bronny James Contributes i…