Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Celtics BKN @ BOS

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

23-45  |  Road

96
FINAL
Tue, Mar 18 • 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

49-19  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
CELTICS
0%
NETS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.3 points (Boston)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

5.1%

Celtics Cover

94.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -16.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BKN By 1-7 points

3.8%

BKN By 8-14 points

0.8%

BOS By 1-7 points

13.2%

BOS By 8-14 points

23.9%

AI Model Projected Score
102.5
BROOKLYN
118.82
BOSTON
Simulated Score
118
BROOKLYN
124
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Celtics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celtics (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.3
D
Sim Celtics (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 221.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 BKN @ BOS 111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026 BOS @ BKN 130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025 BKN @ BOS 113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025 BOS @ BKN 113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025 BKN @ BOS 96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +20.4% more
Boston: 5.9 vs Brooklyn: 4.9
Steals (L5) +9.2% more
Boston: 7.4 vs Brooklyn: 6.7
Free Throw % (L5) +6.5%
Boston: 82.4% vs Brooklyn: 75.9%
Assists (L5) +18.6% more
Brooklyn: 31.0 vs Boston: 25.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 102.5 96
BOS Score 118.8 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 41.1 33.3 / 28.9
Assists 25.2 / 31.0 24.0 / 21.0
Blocks 5.9 / 4.9 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 46.1 44.3 / 40.9
Free Throw % 82.4 / 75.9 81.8 / 64.7
Rebounding 41.3 / 42.6 48.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.4 / 6.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.8 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
BKN
BOS
BKN
ML
57% 61-46
53% 50-45
53% 47-41
59% 48-34
ATS
59% 61-43-3
52% 48-44-3
53% 47-41
59% 48-34
TTL
56% 60-47
57% 54-41
100% 88-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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