CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
56-11 | Road
119
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
38-30 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
27.1%
CLE By 8-14 points
23.5%
LAC By 1-7 points
17.9%
LAC By 8-14 points
7.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
123.58
CLEVELAND
LA
118.19
LA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
118
CLEVELAND
LA
124
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.4
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CLE @ LAC
124 - 91
Nov 23, 2025
LAC @ CLE
105 - 120
Mar 30, 2025
LAC @ CLE
122 - 127
Mar 18, 2025
CLE @ LAC
119 - 132
Apr 7, 2024
CLE @ LAC
118 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.0% more
Cleveland: 14.4
vs
LA: 12.7
Blocks (L5)
+63.5% more
LA: 4.6
vs
Cleveland: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+25.9% more
LA: 9.8
vs
Cleveland: 7.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.8%
LA: 44.2%
vs
Cleveland: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
123.6
119
LAC Score
118.2
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.2 / 31.4
45.7 / 34.1
Assists
27.5 / 24.5
28.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.8
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 44.9
54.8 / 48.9
Free Throw %
78.1 / 75.6
85.7 / 65.4
Rebounding
46.1 / 46.4
49.0 / 29.0
Steals
9.8 / 7.8
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 14.4
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
CLE
LAC
CLE
ML
60%
59-40
60%
69-46
55%
45-37
56%
55-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
67%
75-37-3
55%
45-37
56%
55-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
68-47
100%
82-0
100%
99-0
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