DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
32-29-6 | Road
1
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
44-15-8 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.958
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
RED WINGS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
DET By 1 goal
16.4%
DET By 2-3 goals
16.2%
WSH By 1 goal
18.4%
WSH By 2-3 goals
21.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.54
DETROIT
Washington
2.77
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
WSH @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
WSH @ DET
2 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
DET @ WSH
5 - 2
Mar 18, 2025
DET @ WSH
1 - 4
Mar 7, 2025
DET @ WSH
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.1%
Washington: 50.9%
vs
Detroit: 41.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.7% more
Detroit: 19.3
vs
Washington: 11.3
Takeaways (L5)
+32.5% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Washington: 3.0
Hits (L5)
+19.4% more
Detroit: 19.2
vs
Washington: 15.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.5
1
WSH Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.3 / 19.3
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 41.8
42.5 / 57.5
Hits
15.5 / 19.2
20.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
308.0 / 1183.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 29.7
26.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 4.5
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
DET
WSH
DET
ML
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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