CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
30-25-11 | Road
2
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
33-29-6 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hanley
#44 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hanley | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.08 | 0.943 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.08
--
Save %
0.943
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
RANGERS
0%
FLAMES
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
CGY By 1 goal
14.0%
CGY By 2-3 goals
12.0%
NYR By 1 goal
19.5%
NYR By 2-3 goals
26.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
1.94
CALGARY
New York
2.61
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
CGY @ NYR
0 - 4
Oct 26, 2025
NYR @ CGY
1 - 5
Mar 18, 2025
CGY @ NYR
2 - 1
Nov 21, 2024
NYR @ CGY
2 - 3
Feb 12, 2024
CGY @ NYR
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+13.6%
New York: 54.0%
vs
Calgary: 40.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+23.1% more
Calgary: 4.7
vs
New York: 3.6
Hits (L5)
+16.1% more
Calgary: 28.0
vs
New York: 23.5
Power Play % (L5)
+15.2%
Calgary: 19.3%
vs
New York: 4.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
1.9
2
NYR Score
2.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 13.9
16.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 40.4
58.6 / 41.4
Hits
23.5 / 28.0
37.0 / 36.0
Power Play %
4.1 / 19.3
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
24.2 / 25.2
13.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.7
1.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
CGY
NYR
CGY
ML
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
ATS
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…