ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
29-31-7 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
42-21-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.88 | 0.871 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.90 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.88
GAA
Ldr 2.90
0.871
Save %
Ldr 0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
STARS
0%
DUCKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
ANA By 1 goal
13.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
11.6%
DAL By 1 goal
19.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
26.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.67
ANAHEIM
Dallas
3.39
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
DAL @ ANA
1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
DAL @ ANA
8 - 3
Nov 6, 2025
ANA @ DAL
7 - 5
Mar 18, 2025
ANA @ DAL
3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
DAL @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+34.6% more
Dallas: 4.5
vs
Anaheim: 3.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.4% more
Anaheim: 18.2
vs
Dallas: 14.4
Hits (L5)
+15.7% more
Anaheim: 21.4
vs
Dallas: 18.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.7
3
DAL Score
3.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.4 / 18.2
15.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
48.0 / 47.8
58.3 / 41.7
Hits
18.0 / 21.4
16.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
12.6 / 12.1
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 22.6
31.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 3.3
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
ANA
DAL
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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