TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
24-44 | Road
89
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
31-37 | Home
129
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
SUNS
100%
RAPTORS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
25.4%
TOR By 8-14 points
15.4%
PHX By 1-7 points
25.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
15.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
112.07
TORONTO
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Toronto
118
TORONTO
Phoenix
124
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
TOR @ PHX
98 - 120
Mar 13, 2026
PHX @ TOR
115 - 122
Mar 17, 2025
TOR @ PHX
89 - 129
Feb 23, 2025
PHX @ TOR
109 - 127
Mar 7, 2024
TOR @ PHX
113 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.9% more
Toronto: 9.3
vs
Phoenix: 6.6
Rebounding (L5)
+17.4% more
Toronto: 52.2
vs
Phoenix: 43.2
Turnovers (L5)
+11.1% more
Toronto: 16.5
vs
Phoenix: 14.6
Blocks (L5)
+26.1% more
Phoenix: 4.2
vs
Toronto: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
112.1
89
PHX Score
112.0
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 35.2
51.3 / 28.6
Assists
28.4 / 28.4
34.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.3
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 43.1
51.1 / 35.6
Free Throw %
81.6 / 76.8
100.0 / 73.9
Rebounding
43.2 / 52.2
54.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.6 / 9.3
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 16.5
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
TOR
PHX
TOR
ML
57%
60-45
55%
57-47
51%
45-43
55%
48-39
ATS
58%
59-43-3
61%
62-40-2
51%
45-43
55%
48-39
TTL
59%
61-42-2
60%
62-42
100%
88-0
100%
87-0
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