BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
26-33-6 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
30-30-8 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Nikita Zadorov
#91 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 1.85 | 0.900 | -- |
| Nikita Zadorov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.85
GAA
--
0.900
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
BRUINS
0%
SABRES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BUF By 1 goal
16.6%
BUF By 2-3 goals
16.7%
BOS By 1 goal
18.2%
BOS By 2-3 goals
20.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.22
BUFFALO
Boston
2.41
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 1, 2026
BUF @ BOS
4 - 1
Apr 28, 2026
BOS @ BUF
2 - 1
Apr 26, 2026
BUF @ BOS
6 - 1
Apr 23, 2026
BUF @ BOS
3 - 1
Apr 21, 2026
BOS @ BUF
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+45.6% more
Boston: 5.5
vs
Buffalo: 3.8
Hits (L5)
+35.5% more
Boston: 33.5
vs
Buffalo: 24.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.7% more
Boston: 15.9
vs
Buffalo: 12.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.2% more
Buffalo: 29.3
vs
Boston: 21.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.2
3
BOS Score
2.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 12.5
23.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 56.9
62.3 / 37.7
Hits
33.5 / 24.8
31.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
5.3 / 28.8
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
21.3 / 29.3
20.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 3.8
4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
BUF
BOS
BUF
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
TTL
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Kaprizov's Two Goals Propel Wild Past Bruins 4-1
Wild Aim to Stay Perfect at Home Against Bruins; Newcomers Shine…
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener