ORLANDO
MAGICORL
31-37 | Road
108
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
56-10 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
MAGIC
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
ORL By 1-7 points
15.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
5.8%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
25.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
112.98
ORLANDO
Cleveland
120
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Cleveland
115
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
ORL @ CLE
131 - 136
Mar 11, 2026
CLE @ ORL
122 - 128
Jan 26, 2026
ORL @ CLE
98 - 114
Jan 24, 2026
CLE @ ORL
119 - 105
Mar 16, 2025
ORL @ CLE
108 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.0% more
Cleveland: 14.7
vs
Orlando: 11.1
Assists (L5)
+28.8% more
Cleveland: 26.3
vs
Orlando: 20.4
Rebounding (L5)
+26.9% more
Cleveland: 45.6
vs
Orlando: 35.9
Blocks (L5)
+32.3% more
Orlando: 5.5
vs
Cleveland: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
113.0
108
CLE Score
120.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 36.9
25.0 / 41.9
Assists
26.3 / 20.4
21.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.5
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 45.4
41.7 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 82.2
65.0 / 79.4
Rebounding
45.6 / 35.9
48.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.3
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 11.1
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ORL
CLE
ORL
ML
60%
69-46
61%
65-42
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
ATS
67%
75-37-3
64%
68-38-1
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
TTL
59%
68-47
57%
61-46
100%
99-0
100%
91-0
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