PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
31-36 | Road
96
LOS ANGELES
LAKERSLAL
40-25 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
LAKERS
100%
SUNS
--
LAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
26.5%
PHX By 8-14 points
17.5%
LAL By 1-7 points
23.8%
LAL By 8-14 points
13.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
115.81
PHOENIX
Los Angeles
114.44
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Phoenix
118
PHOENIX
Los Angeles
115
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
PHX @ LAL
73 - 101
Feb 26, 2026
LAL @ PHX
110 - 113
Dec 23, 2025
LAL @ PHX
108 - 132
Dec 14, 2025
LAL @ PHX
116 - 114
Dec 1, 2025
PHX @ LAL
125 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.2% more
Phoenix: 4.2
vs
Los Angeles: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+13.9% more
Phoenix: 14.9
vs
Los Angeles: 12.8
Steals (L5)
+13.7% more
Phoenix: 7.9
vs
Los Angeles: 6.8
Assists (L5)
+13.4% more
Phoenix: 30.0
vs
Los Angeles: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
115.8
96
LAL Score
114.4
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 45.9
35.9 / 22.0
Assists
26.0 / 30.0
22.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.2
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 52.0
43.2 / 39.3
Free Throw %
79.0 / 81.9
71.9 / 81.0
Rebounding
44.3 / 39.3
40.0 / 51.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.9
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 14.9
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAL
Advantage
57-35-0
(62.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAL
51-41-0
(55.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
PHX
LAL
PHX
ML
61%
68-43
57%
60-45
54%
49-42
51%
45-43
ATS
61%
67-43-1
58%
59-43-3
54%
49-42
51%
45-43
TTL
61%
66-43-2
59%
61-42-2
100%
91-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…