TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
24-43 | Road
102
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
28-39 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
TOR By 1-7 points
25.0%
TOR By 8-14 points
14.7%
POR By 1-7 points
25.7%
POR By 8-14 points
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
115.27
TORONTO
Portland
115.65
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Toronto
118
TORONTO
Portland
112
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Raptors (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
TOR @ POR
110 - 98
Dec 2, 2025
POR @ TOR
118 - 121
Apr 3, 2025
POR @ TOR
112 - 103
Mar 16, 2025
TOR @ POR
102 - 105
Mar 9, 2024
TOR @ POR
118 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.0% more
Portland: 18.8
vs
Toronto: 15.7
Assists (L5)
+20.4% more
Toronto: 28.1
vs
Portland: 22.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.7% more
Toronto: 54.9
vs
Portland: 47.3
Steals (L5)
+11.3% more
Toronto: 7.9
vs
Portland: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
115.3
102
POR Score
115.7
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 36.6
36.0 / 32.3
Assists
22.4 / 28.1
21.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.9 / 4.9
7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 44.5
40.9 / 40.4
Free Throw %
73.5 / 75.2
83.3 / 80.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 54.9
51.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.0 / 7.9
10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
18.8 / 15.7
22.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
TOR
POR
TOR
ML
53%
56-49
55%
57-47
55%
49-40
55%
48-39
ATS
62%
65-39-1
61%
62-40-2
55%
49-40
55%
48-39
TTL
56%
58-46-1
60%
62-42
100%
89-0
100%
87-0
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