Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Clippers CHA @ LAC

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

17-49  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sun, Mar 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

37-30  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
CLIPPERS
0%
HORNETS --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.2
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.2 points (LA)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

9.3%

Clippers Cover

90.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -13.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

CHA By 1-7 points

6.6%

CHA By 8-14 points

1.6%

LAC By 1-7 points

18.2%

LAC By 8-14 points

26.7%

AI Model Projected Score
103.25
CHARLOTTE
116.47
LA
Simulated Score
118
CHARLOTTE
124
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.2
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 219.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 12, 2026 CHA @ LAC 109 - 117
Nov 22, 2025 LAC @ CHA 131 - 116
Mar 16, 2025 CHA @ LAC 88 - 123
Jan 31, 2025 LAC @ CHA 112 - 104
Mar 31, 2024 LAC @ CHA 130 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.5% more
LA: 9.8 vs Charlotte: 7.4
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
LA: 53.4% vs Charlotte: 49.0%
Turnovers (L5) +19.1% more
Charlotte: 16.8 vs LA: 13.6
Assists (L5) +17.3% more
Charlotte: 31.8 vs LA: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 103.3 88
LAC Score 116.5 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.3 / 40.7 50.0 / 18.2
Assists 26.3 / 31.8 30.0 / 27.0
Blocks 4.4 / 4.5 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 53.4 / 49.0 48.4 / 39.4
Free Throw % 73.6 / 87.1 87.0 / 88.9
Rebounding 40.2 / 41.5 58.0 / 44.0
Steals 9.8 / 7.4 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 16.8 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
27%MONEY73%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
CHA
LAC
CHA
ML
60% 59-40
61% 60-39
55% 45-37
48% 40-44
ATS
66% 65-33-1
60% 59-40
55% 45-37
48% 40-44
TTL
59% 58-40-1
58% 57-42
100% 82-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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