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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

38-24-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

33-28-6  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 3.15 0.870 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.15
-- Save % 0.870
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
OILERS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

52.2%

Rangers Cover

47.8%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

17.9%

EDM By 2-3 goals

19.8%

NYR By 1 goal

17.0%

NYR By 2-3 goals

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.95
EDMONTON
2.84
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
EDMONTON
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 30, 2025 NYR @ EDM 4 - 3
Oct 14, 2025 EDM @ NYR 2 - 0
Mar 16, 2025 EDM @ NYR 3 - 1
Nov 23, 2024 NYR @ EDM 2 - 6
Dec 22, 2023 EDM @ NYR 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +45.7% more
Edmonton: 5.3 vs New York: 2.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.7% more
Edmonton: 32.8 vs New York: 25.4
Power Play % (L5) +7.6%
Edmonton: 13.7% vs New York: 6.1%
Hits (L5) +51.4% more
New York: 26.3 vs Edmonton: 17.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.0 3
NYR Score 2.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.4 / 13.0 16.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 56.6 / 45.5 48.9 / 51.1
Hits 26.3 / 17.4 18.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 6.1 / 13.7 0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 25.4 / 32.8 22.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 2.9 / 5.3 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
51%MONEY49%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
EDM
NYR
EDM
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 39 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 39 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 13 hours ago