FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
41-23-3 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
29-28-8 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
PANTHERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.5%
FLA By 2-3 goals
26.3%
NYI By 1 goal
13.9%
NYI By 2-3 goals
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
2.76
FLORIDA
New York
2.07
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Florida
4
FLORIDA
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
FLA @ NYI
2 - 5
Mar 1, 2026
FLA @ NYI
4 - 5
Dec 7, 2025
NYI @ FLA
1 - 4
Mar 16, 2025
FLA @ NYI
2 - 4
Feb 2, 2025
NYI @ FLA
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+36.7% more
Florida: 34.9
vs
New York: 22.1
Takeaways (L5)
+19.2% more
Florida: 4.3
vs
New York: 3.5
Power Play % (L5)
+15.7%
Florida: 24.8%
vs
New York: 9.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.5% more
New York: 17.2
vs
Florida: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
2.8
2
NYI Score
2.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 11.9
14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
58.8 / 51.1
45.7 / 54.3
Hits
22.1 / 34.9
22.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
9.0 / 24.8
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.0 / 27.4
34.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 4.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
FLA
NYI
FLA
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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