ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

31-28-7  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Mar 15 • 8:00 PM ET
Xcel Energy Center
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

37-24-5  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 1.00 0.944 --
Filip Gustavsson None-None 4.05 0.852 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 4.05
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.852
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
WILD
0%
BLUES --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

40.9%

Wild Cover

59.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

STL By 1 goal

15.2%

STL By 2-3 goals

14.0%

MIN By 1 goal

19.0%

MIN By 2-3 goals

23.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.27
ST. LOUIS
2.73
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wild Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wild (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim Blues (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 MIN @ STL 3 - 6
Mar 1, 2026 STL @ MIN 3 - 1
Oct 9, 2025 MIN @ STL 5 - 0
Mar 15, 2025 STL @ MIN 5 - 1
Jan 7, 2025 STL @ MIN 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +8.8% more
Minnesota: 17.4 vs St. Louis: 16.0
Takeaways (L5) +29.9% more
St. Louis: 5.8 vs Minnesota: 4.1
Hits (L5) +17.2% more
St. Louis: 24.1 vs Minnesota: 20.0
Power Play % (L5) +6.7%
St. Louis: 39.7% vs Minnesota: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 2.3 5
MIN Score 2.7 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.4 / 16.0 19.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 46.3 / 48.2 39.2 / 60.8
Hits 20.0 / 24.1 19.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 3298.0 / 3968.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.0 / 28.7 18.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.1 / 5.8 5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
34%MONEY66%