LA
CLIPPERSLAC
36-30 | Road
121
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
32-34 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
HAWKS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
17.8%
ATL By 1-7 points
23.6%
ATL By 8-14 points
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
118.07
LA
Atlanta
116.53
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.5
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
LAC @ ATL
115 - 92
Nov 10, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 102
Mar 14, 2025
LAC @ ATL
121 - 98
Jan 4, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 131
Mar 17, 2024
ATL @ LAC
110 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
LA: 52.7%
vs
Atlanta: 47.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
LA: 39.7%
vs
Atlanta: 37.5%
Blocks (L5)
+53.0% more
Atlanta: 6.3
vs
LA: 4.1
Steals (L5)
+19.7% more
Atlanta: 9.1
vs
LA: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
118.1
121
ATL Score
116.5
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 39.7
27.3 / 44.4
Assists
29.0 / 26.0
25.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.3 / 4.1
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 52.7
42.0 / 54.7
Free Throw %
83.2 / 72.9
88.2 / 75.0
Rebounding
44.7 / 40.3
44.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.6
8.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 13.4
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAC
ATL
LAC
ML
50%
52-52
60%
59-40
55%
48-40
55%
45-37
ATS
53%
55-48-1
66%
65-33-1
55%
48-40
55%
45-37
TTL
53%
55-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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