EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
37-24-4 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
29-28-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.88 | 0.943 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.88
--
Save %
0.943
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
OILERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
17.9%
EDM By 2-3 goals
19.8%
NYI By 1 goal
17.0%
NYI By 2-3 goals
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.43
EDMONTON
New York
2.32
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
NYI @ EDM
1 - 0
Oct 16, 2025
EDM @ NYI
2 - 4
Mar 14, 2025
EDM @ NYI
2 - 1
Nov 12, 2024
NYI @ EDM
3 - 4
Dec 19, 2023
EDM @ NYI
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+50.0% more
Edmonton: 5.5
vs
New York: 2.7
Power Play % (L5)
+7.0%
Edmonton: 20.5%
vs
New York: 13.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.8%
New York: 55.7%
vs
Edmonton: 50.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.4
2
NYI Score
2.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 14.5
22.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
55.7 / 50.8
65.2 / 34.8
Hits
22.7 / 21.1
21.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
1354.0 / 2054.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 31.7
25.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
2.7 / 5.5
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
EDM
NYI
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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