AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
BULLS
0%
NETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
BKN By 1-7 points
23.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
12.9%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
110.27
BROOKLYN
Chicago
111.8
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.5
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
CHI @ BKN
115 - 123
Jan 18, 2026
BKN @ CHI
102 - 124
Jan 16, 2026
CHI @ BKN
109 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
BKN @ CHI
113 - 103
Mar 13, 2025
BKN @ CHI
110 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+26.7% more
Chicago: 50.6
vs
Brooklyn: 39.9
Turnovers (L5)
+15.2% more
Chicago: 14.6
vs
Brooklyn: 12.7
Assists (L5)
+9.4% more
Chicago: 28.5
vs
Brooklyn: 26.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Chicago: 80.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 75.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
110.3
110
CHI Score
111.8
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 35.2
29.7 / 32.4
Assists
28.5 / 26.1
24.0 / 32.0
Blocks
5.3 / 5.2
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 44.5
45.6 / 44.8
Free Throw %
80.5 / 75.2
88.5 / 72.2
Rebounding
50.6 / 39.9
47.0 / 50.0
Steals
5.7 / 8.8
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 12.7
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
BKN
CHI
BKN
ML
56%
54-42
53%
50-45
57%
46-35
59%
48-34
ATS
65%
62-33-1
52%
48-44-3
57%
46-35
59%
48-34
TTL
58%
56-40
57%
54-41
100%
81-0
100%
82-0