ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
31-27-7 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
26-31-10 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 5.08 | 0.789 | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.08
GAA
--
0.789
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
PENGUINS
0%
BLUES
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
STL By 1 goal
15.9%
STL By 2-3 goals
15.2%
PIT By 1 goal
18.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
22.3%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2.81
ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh
3.14
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
PIT @ STL
5 - 7
Oct 27, 2025
STL @ PIT
3 - 6
Apr 3, 2025
PIT @ STL
4 - 5
Mar 13, 2025
STL @ PIT
3 - 5
Dec 30, 2023
STL @ PIT
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+14.5%
Pittsburgh: 24.0%
vs
St. Louis: 9.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+14.0% more
Pittsburgh: 4.8
vs
St. Louis: 4.2
Hits (L5)
+30.5% more
St. Louis: 25.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 17.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.8% more
St. Louis: 19.6
vs
Pittsburgh: 17.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
2.8
3
PIT Score
3.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 19.6
24.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
51.8 / 51.8
58.9 / 41.1
Hits
17.8 / 25.7
26.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
24.0 / 9.5
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
23.3 / 25.6
22.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.2
6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
STL
PIT
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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