BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

30-28-8  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Mar 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

34-25-5  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 12.00 0.733 --
Linus Ullmark None-None 3.00 0.880 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
12.00 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.733 Save % Ldr 0.880
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
SENATORS
100%
BRUINS --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Boston)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

55.0%

Senators Cover

45.0%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1 goal

18.4%

BOS By 2-3 goals

21.4%

OTT By 1 goal

16.3%

OTT By 2-3 goals

16.0%

AI Model Projected Score
2.83
BOSTON
2.58
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
4
BOSTON
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim Bruins (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 5, 2026 OTT @ BOS 4 - 1
Dec 21, 2025 OTT @ BOS 6 - 2
Nov 13, 2025 BOS @ OTT 3 - 5
Nov 6, 2025 OTT @ BOS 2 - 3
Oct 27, 2025 BOS @ OTT 2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +29.2% more
Ottawa: 4.7 vs Boston: 3.7
Power Play % (L5) +3.9%
Ottawa: 15.8% vs Boston: 11.8%
Faceoff % (L5) +1.9%
Ottawa: 55.1% vs Boston: 53.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 2.8 3
OTT Score 2.6 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.9 / 16.0 15.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 55.1 / 53.2 53.2 / 46.8
Hits 31.5 / 31.5 23.0 / 34.0
Power Play % 15.8 / 11.8 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.4 / 26.5 32.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 3.7 5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
71%MONEY29%