NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
31-28-6 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
37-24-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.94 | 0.929 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.91 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.94 Ldr
GAA
2.91
0.929 Ldr
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
WILD
100%
RANGERS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
18.1%
NYR By 2-3 goals
20.3%
MIN By 1 goal
16.8%
MIN By 2-3 goals
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.79
NEW YORK
Minnesota
2.64
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
NYR @ MIN
4 - 2
Oct 20, 2025
MIN @ NYR
3 - 1
Apr 2, 2025
MIN @ NYR
4 - 5
Mar 13, 2025
NYR @ MIN
3 - 2
Nov 9, 2023
MIN @ NYR
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+24.5% more
New York: 26.4
vs
Minnesota: 19.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.6%
New York: 54.7%
vs
Minnesota: 48.1%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+40.6% more
Minnesota: 19.2
vs
New York: 13.6
Takeaways (L5)
+32.0% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
New York: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.8
3
MIN Score
2.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.2 / 13.6
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.1 / 54.7
42.6 / 57.4
Hits
19.9 / 26.4
20.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
24.5 / 13.8
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 25.8
28.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.5
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
NYR
MIN
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
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