LA
CLIPPERSLAC
35-30 | Road
119
MIAMI
HEATMIA
29-35 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
HEAT
100%
CLIPPERS
--
HEAT
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.5%
LAC By 8-14 points
17.6%
MIA By 1-7 points
23.8%
MIA By 8-14 points
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
110.92
LA
Miami
109.49
MIAMI
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Miami
115
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 1, 2025
LAC @ MIA
123 - 140
Nov 3, 2025
MIA @ LAC
120 - 119
Mar 12, 2025
LAC @ MIA
119 - 104
Jan 13, 2025
MIA @ LAC
98 - 109
Feb 4, 2024
LAC @ MIA
103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.4% more
LA: 6.2
vs
Miami: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+9.8% more
LA: 7.9
vs
Miami: 7.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
LA: 49.5%
vs
Miami: 45.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+15.5% more
Miami: 12.7
vs
LA: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
110.9
119
MIA Score
109.5
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 35.5
37.8 / 48.1
Assists
26.6 / 27.0
27.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.4 / 6.2
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 49.5
47.6 / 59.2
Free Throw %
75.3 / 76.1
71.4 / 66.7
Rebounding
43.6 / 38.0
29.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.9
14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 11.0
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIA
Advantage
43-40-0
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIA
Advantage
47-36-0
(56.6%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
MIA
47-36-0
O: 56.6% / U: 43.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
LAC
MIA
LAC
ML
48%
46-50
60%
59-40
59%
48-34
55%
45-37
ATS
51%
49-47
66%
65-33-1
59%
48-34
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
57-39
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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