BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
25-32-6 | Road
3
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
30-28-6 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 7.00 | 0.759 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.00
GAA
--
0.759
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
RED WINGS
0%
SABRES
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
BUF By 1 goal
15.6%
BUF By 2-3 goals
14.7%
DET By 1 goal
18.8%
DET By 2-3 goals
22.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.4
BUFFALO
Detroit
2.78
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Sabres (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
DET @ BUF
5 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
BUF @ DET
5 - 4
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
DET @ BUF
2 - 5
Sep 25, 2025
BUF @ DET
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+41.9% more
Detroit: 35.8
vs
Buffalo: 25.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.2% more
Detroit: 17.0
vs
Buffalo: 13.4
Hits (L5)
+11.1% more
Detroit: 23.0
vs
Buffalo: 20.7
Power Play % (L5)
+4.4%
Detroit: 14.9%
vs
Buffalo: 10.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.4
3
DET Score
2.8
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 13.4
20.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
42.8 / 45.3
41.9 / 58.1
Hits
23.0 / 20.7
17.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
14.9 / 10.6
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
35.8 / 25.2
29.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
2.8 / 4.0
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BUF
DET
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
TTL
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
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Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets