BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
22-42 | Road
104
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
54-10 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
NETS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.1 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -8.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
BKN By 1-7 points
13.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
4.8%
CLE By 1-7 points
25.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
26.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
111.34
BROOKLYN
Cleveland
119.43
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Cleveland
124
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.1
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
CLE @ BKN
106 - 102
Feb 19, 2026
BKN @ CLE
84 - 112
Oct 24, 2025
CLE @ BKN
131 - 124
Mar 11, 2025
BKN @ CLE
104 - 109
Feb 20, 2025
CLE @ BKN
110 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.0% more
Cleveland: 13.5
vs
Brooklyn: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+13.3% more
Cleveland: 46.3
vs
Brooklyn: 40.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.8%
Cleveland: 80.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 77.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Cleveland: 37.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 34.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
111.3
104
CLE Score
119.4
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 34.6
23.8 / 36.4
Assists
23.6 / 23.6
23.0 / 31.0
Blocks
3.4 / 6.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 43.5
43.8 / 46.4
Free Throw %
80.8 / 77.0
84.0 / 71.4
Rebounding
46.3 / 40.9
48.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.3 / 8.7
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 11.5
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
BKN
CLE
BKN
ML
60%
69-46
53%
50-45
56%
55-44
59%
48-34
ATS
67%
75-37-3
52%
48-44-3
56%
55-44
59%
48-34
TTL
59%
68-47
57%
54-41
100%
99-0
100%
82-0
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