FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
40-21-3 | Road
2
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
29-28-8 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
John Beecher
#-- | Center@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Beecher | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.01 | 0.929 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.01
--
Save %
0.929
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
BRUINS
100%
PANTHERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
18.9%
FLA By 2-3 goals
23.2%
BOS By 1 goal
15.5%
BOS By 2-3 goals
14.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
3.04
FLORIDA
Boston
2.63
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
BOS @ FLA
1 - 2
Feb 4, 2026
BOS @ FLA
4 - 5
Oct 21, 2025
FLA @ BOS
4 - 3
Mar 11, 2025
FLA @ BOS
2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
BOS @ FLA
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+33.1% more
Florida: 4.5
vs
Boston: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.6% more
Florida: 35.0
vs
Boston: 27.8
Power Play % (L5)
+11.7%
Florida: 16.9%
vs
Boston: 5.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+107.2% more
Boston: 17.5
vs
Florida: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.0
2
BOS Score
2.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.5 / 8.4
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 50.4
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
29.7 / 28.4
35.0 / 40.0
Power Play %
5.2 / 16.9
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.8 / 35.0
24.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 4.5
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
FLA
BOS
FLA
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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