NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
31-27-6 | Road
1
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
44-17-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.07 | 0.917 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 1.00 | 0.955 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.07
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.917
Save %
Ldr 0.955
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
JETS
0%
RANGERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
NYR By 1 goal
11.2%
NYR By 2-3 goals
8.3%
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
31.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.72
NEW YORK
Winnipeg
3.87
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
WPG @ NYR
3 - 2
Mar 12, 2026
NYR @ WPG
6 - 3
Mar 11, 2025
NYR @ WPG
1 - 2
Nov 12, 2024
WPG @ NYR
6 - 3
Mar 19, 2024
WPG @ NYR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+29.4%
Winnipeg: 33.3%
vs
New York: 4.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.4% more
Winnipeg: 16.8
vs
New York: 15.5
Hits (L5)
+28.7% more
New York: 25.1
vs
Winnipeg: 17.9
Takeaways (L5)
+21.7% more
New York: 4.2
vs
Winnipeg: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.7
1
WPG Score
3.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 15.5
21.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
50.6 / 55.7
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
17.9 / 25.1
24.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
33.3 / 4.0
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.8 / 27.7
24.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 4.2
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
NYR
WPG
NYR
ML
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
TTL
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List