COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
39-24-2 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
36-24-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 0.92 | 0.957 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 0.92 | 0.964 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.92
GAA
0.92
0.957
Save %
Ldr 0.964
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
WILD
100%
AVALANCHE
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
18.8%
COL By 2-3 goals
35.2%
MIN By 1 goal
8.4%
MIN By 2-3 goals
5.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.89
COLORADO
Minnesota
2.25
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 13, 2026
MIN @ COL
3 - 4
May 11, 2026
COL @ MIN
5 - 2
May 9, 2026
COL @ MIN
1 - 5
May 5, 2026
MIN @ COL
2 - 5
May 3, 2026
MIN @ COL
6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+11.5% more
Colorado: 5.6
vs
Minnesota: 4.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+60.7% more
Minnesota: 17.7
vs
Colorado: 11.0
Hits (L5)
+9.9% more
Minnesota: 21.9
vs
Colorado: 19.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.9
1
MIN Score
2.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 11.0
22.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
49.0 / 48.9
46.4 / 53.6
Hits
21.9 / 19.9
16.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
3671.0 / 3591.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 28.0
23.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 5.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
COL
MIN
COL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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