PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
22-41 | Road
123
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
30-34 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
HAWKS
100%
76ERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.9%
PHI By 8-14 points
18.8%
ATL By 1-7 points
22.9%
ATL By 8-14 points
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
114.05
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
111.92
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PHI @ ATL
116 - 125
Feb 19, 2026
ATL @ PHI
117 - 107
Dec 14, 2025
PHI @ ATL
117 - 120
Nov 30, 2025
ATL @ PHI
142 - 134
Apr 11, 2025
ATL @ PHI
124 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
Philadelphia: 82.9%
vs
Atlanta: 80.6%
Blocks (L5)
+20.0% more
Atlanta: 6.7
vs
Philadelphia: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+10.7% more
Atlanta: 28.8
vs
Philadelphia: 26.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Atlanta: 49.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
114.1
123
ATL Score
111.9
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 34.7
40.5 / 38.1
Assists
28.8 / 26.0
34.0 / 29.0
Blocks
6.7 / 5.6
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 44.9
54.1 / 50.5
Free Throw %
80.6 / 82.9
78.6 / 75.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 44.3
48.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.8 / 9.0
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 15.0
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
PHI
ATL
PHI
ML
50%
52-52
63%
69-40
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
ATS
53%
55-48-1
65%
71-38
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
TTL
53%
55-48-1
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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