PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
30-34 | Road
118
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
40-24 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
SUNS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.1
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.1 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -6.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
26.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
24.4%
MEM By 1-7 points
16.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
6.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
116.9
PHOENIX
Memphis
110.82
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Phoenix
118
PHOENIX
Memphis
115
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.1
D
Sim
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
PHX @ MEM
131 - 105
Jan 7, 2026
PHX @ MEM
117 - 98
Oct 29, 2025
MEM @ PHX
114 - 113
Mar 10, 2025
PHX @ MEM
118 - 120
Feb 25, 2025
PHX @ MEM
148 - 151
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+17.4% more
Phoenix: 32.2
vs
Memphis: 26.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Phoenix: 54.2%
vs
Memphis: 45.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Phoenix: 39.0%
vs
Memphis: 30.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
Phoenix: 85.2%
vs
Memphis: 79.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
116.9
118
MEM Score
110.8
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 39.0
37.0 / 52.6
Assists
26.6 / 32.2
26.0 / 31.0
Blocks
6.3 / 3.9
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 54.2
46.5 / 45.6
Free Throw %
79.9 / 85.2
85.2 / 72.7
Rebounding
52.6 / 43.5
39.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.0 / 4.8
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 13.9
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
PHX
MEM
PHX
ML
57%
59-44
57%
60-45
50%
41-41
51%
45-43
ATS
63%
65-38
58%
59-43-3
50%
41-41
51%
45-43
TTL
70%
71-31-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
Suns Preseason Opener: Starters Shine, Bench Battles Emerge in L…