DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
30-27-6 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
32-25-5 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
David Perron
#57 | Left Wing@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perron | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.00 | 0.980 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.980
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
SENATORS
0%
RED WINGS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
DET By 1 goal
14.5%
DET By 2-3 goals
12.8%
OTT By 1 goal
19.3%
OTT By 2-3 goals
25.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.49
DETROIT
Ottawa
3.07
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
DET @ OTT
2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
DET @ OTT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+74.5% more
Ottawa: 4.7
vs
Detroit: 2.7
Hits (L5)
+45.8% more
Ottawa: 27.6
vs
Detroit: 19.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.5% more
Ottawa: 32.2
vs
Detroit: 29.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.2%
Ottawa: 53.8%
vs
Detroit: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.5
1
OTT Score
3.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 14.9
12.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
53.8 / 45.6
62.7 / 37.3
Hits
27.6 / 19.0
43.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
10.4 / 22.4
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.2 / 29.1
23.0 / 49.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 2.7
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
DET
OTT
DET
ML
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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