Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pistons @ Trail Blazers DET @ POR

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

35-29  |  Road

119
FINAL
Sun, Mar 9 • 9:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

28-36  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
PISTONS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.3
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.3 points (Portland)
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

29.9%

Trail Blazers Cover

70.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -5.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

DET By 1-7 points

18.1%

DET By 8-14 points

7.7%

POR By 1-7 points

27.2%

POR By 8-14 points

23.4%

AI Model Projected Score
119.47
DETROIT
124.73
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
118
DETROIT
124
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.3
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 244.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 DET @ POR 110 - 102
Dec 5, 2025 POR @ DET 116 - 122
Mar 9, 2025 DET @ POR 119 - 112
Jan 6, 2025 POR @ DET 115 - 118
Feb 8, 2024 DET @ POR 128 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +16.3% more
Portland: 48.5 vs Detroit: 41.7
Steals (L5) +36.6% more
Detroit: 10.4 vs Portland: 6.6
Blocks (L5) +25.9% more
Detroit: 5.4 vs Portland: 4.0
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
Detroit: 25.4 vs Portland: 21.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 119.5 119
POR Score 124.7 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.6 / 29.6 30.0 / 32.1
Assists 21.2 / 25.4 17.0 / 22.0
Blocks 4.0 / 5.4 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 50.2 38.7 / 49.4
Free Throw % 75.4 / 75.2 78.1 / 75.0
Rebounding 48.5 / 41.7 41.0 / 54.0
Steals 6.6 / 10.4 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 16.9 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
DET
POR
DET
ML
53% 56-49
55% 64-53
55% 49-40
49% 47-49
ATS
62% 65-39-1
53% 60-54-3
55% 49-40
49% 47-49
TTL
56% 58-46-1
60% 70-46-1
100% 89-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
dallasnews 0 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 5 hours, 51 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 5 hours, 54 minutes ago
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
headtopics 18 hours, 7 minutes ago