DALLAS
STARSDAL
41-20-2 | Road
4
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
29-22-11 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 3.05 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.05
0.957 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
STARS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
DAL By 1 goal
16.3%
DAL By 2-3 goals
16.0%
VAN By 1 goal
18.4%
VAN By 2-3 goals
21.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2.75
DALLAS
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
DAL @ VAN
6 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 2
Oct 16, 2025
VAN @ DAL
5 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
VAN @ DAL
6 - 5
Mar 9, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+108.5% more
Vancouver: 26.8
vs
Dallas: 12.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.5% more
Vancouver: 17.9
vs
Dallas: 14.6
Power Play % (L5)
+20.9%
Dallas: 42.6%
vs
Vancouver: 21.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.2%
Dallas: 53.0%
vs
Vancouver: 48.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
2.8
4
VAN Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.9 / 14.6
12.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 53.0
57.7 / 42.3
Hits
26.8 / 12.9
36.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
2173.0 / 4262.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 25.1
23.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 3.7
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
DAL
VAN
DAL
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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