NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
29-26-7 | Road
1
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
27-28-7 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Marcus Hogberg
#50 | G@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Hogberg | None-None | 3.15 | 0.889 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 1.01 | 0.969 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.15
GAA
Ldr 1.01
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.969
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
DUCKS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
28.9%
ANA By 1 goal
12.5%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.78
NEW YORK
Anaheim
1.84
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
NYI @ ANA
1 - 5
Dec 11, 2025
ANA @ NYI
2 - 5
Mar 9, 2025
NYI @ ANA
1 - 4
Oct 29, 2024
ANA @ NYI
3 - 1
Mar 10, 2024
NYI @ ANA
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.4% more
New York: 16.6
vs
Anaheim: 13.2
Power Play % (L5)
+19.8%
New York: 30.5%
vs
Anaheim: 10.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.9% more
New York: 28.3
vs
Anaheim: 23.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.5%
New York: 51.5%
vs
Anaheim: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.8
1
ANA Score
1.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 16.6
18.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
43.0 / 51.5
58.1 / 41.9
Hits
24.4 / 21.2
24.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
10.7 / 30.5
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.5 / 28.3
28.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 2.9
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
NYI
ANA
NYI
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-3
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…